September 30, 2024 at 08:22 AM ET
Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season ends with another Monday Night Football doubleheader, the second in as many weeks. The Tennessee Titans, looking for their first win of the year, head to Hard Rock Stadium to face the Miami Dolphins (7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN), who will play Tyler Huntley at quarterback. The line has changed since Huntley was announced under center as Miami enters the game as a 2.5-point favorite with a 37.5 overall.
Meanwhile, in the second game of the night, Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions welcome Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks to Ford Field (8:15 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN+). Despite entering the game undefeated, the Seahawks sit in second place, 4 points behind the Lions, with an overall score of 46.5.
Betting analysts Ben Solak and Anita Marks offer their favorite bets for each match, and you’ll also find betting trends provided by ESPN Research.
Current odds as of press time. For the latest lines, go to ESPN BET
Game Lines: Giants at Dolphins
De’Von Acane could see less rush volume while partnering with Raheem Mostert and Tyler Huntley on Monday night. Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)
Moneyline: Dolphins (-150), Giants (+130)
Over/Under: 37.5
Halftime Spread: Giants +0.5 (-110), Dolphins -0.5 (-110)
Props
Will Levis’ total passing yards: O/U: 199.5 yards (+105/-135)
Tyler Huntley’s total passing yards: O/U: 174.5 yards (+115, -145)
Total TDs at Huntley: O/U: 0.5 TDs (-189/+140)
Rushing
De’Von Acane’s total rushing yards: O/U 69.5 (-105/-125)
Tony Pollard’s total rushing yards: O/U 49.5 (-135/+105)
Huntley’s total rushing yards: O/U 34.5 (+120/-155)
Tyjae Spears’ total rushing yards: O/U 24.5 (+105/-135)
Levis’ Total Rushing Yards: O/U 14.5 (-120/-110)
Receiving
Tyreek Hill Total Receiving Yards: O/U 49.5 (-115/-110)
DeAndre Hopkins Total Receiving Yards: O/U 44.5 (-120/-110)
Calvin Ridley Total Receiving Yards: O/U 44.5 (-130/even)
Jaylen Waddle Total Receiving Yards: O/U 39.5 (up/-130)
Tyler Boyd’s total receiving yards: O/U 24.5 (-115/-115)
Total Receiving Yards: O/U 24.5 (up to +/-130)
Chig Okonkwo Total Receiving Yards: O/U 29.5 (+110/-140)
Spurs total receiving yards: O/U 14.5 (-119/-120)
Pollard’s total receiving yards: O/U 14.5 (-110/-120)
Seahawks in black
Current odds as of press time. For the latest lines, go to ESPN BET
Spread: Black (-4)
Moneyline: Lions (-210), Seahawks (+175)
Over/Under: 46.5
Halftime Spread: Lions -2.5 (+102), Seahawks +2.5 (-125)
Seahawks Total Score: O/U 20.5 points (-115/-115)
Black Score: O/U 25.5 points (-115/-115)
Pass
Jared Goff Total Passing Yards: O/U 249.5 yards (-105/-125)
Goff’s total passes: O/U 1.5 TDs (-105/-125)
Geno Smith’s total passing yards: O/U: 249.5 yards (-105/-125)
Smith’s total passes: O/U 1.5 TDs (+120/-155)
Rushing
David Montgomery’s total rushing yards: O/U 59.5 (-140/+110)
Jahmir Gibbs’ total rushing yards: O/U 49.5 (-110/-120)
Kenneth Walker III Total Rushing Yards: O/U 49.5 (-145/+115)
Receiving
Total receiving yards for Amun-Ra St. Brown: O/U 79.5 (up/-130)
DK Metcalf Total Receiving Yards: O/U 69.5 (-104/-125)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Total Receiving Yards: O/U 49.5 (-110/-120)
Tyler Lockett’s total receiving yards: O/U 44.5 (-115/-115)
Sam LaPorta Total Receiving Yards: O/U 39.5 (-110/-129)
Total Receiving Yards for Jameson Williams: O/U 44.5 (up/-130)
Noah Fant’s total receiving yards: O/U 24.5 (-125/-105)
Gibbs’ total receiving yards: O/U 24.5 (+110, -140)
Walker’s total receiving yards: O/U 14.5 (+105/-135)
Games selections
De’Von Acane under 59.5 yards
The Dolphins offense is in flux and Tyler Huntley will start at quarterback this week. I expect Huntley to steal carries for Atchanie, along with Raheem Mostert (who is expected to return to the field on Monday night). The Giants should be able to start strong and the Dolphins may play from behind, which means passing yards at a higher price. –Marx
David Montgomery anytime TD (-170)
The Seahawks have struggled to defend their run this season. Montgomery typically shuts down drives for the Lions, so once Detroit gets into the red zone, expect Montgomery to get the call. –Marx
Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 49.5 yards (-110)
The numbers suggest that DK Metcalf is the guy Geno Smith likes to go to against man coverage, which the Lions run at a top-five rate — but that sample is very small this season. Metcalf will spend most of his time on the outside against Carlton Davis III and Tyrion Arnold, who represent Detroit’s high-end outside cornerback duo.
However, defending the slot remains an issue for the Lions, and this is where Smith-Njigba makes his hay. Expect a lot of regression for Smith, which means Smith-Njigba should clear that number even if he ends up with fewer goals than Metcalf. — Solak
Betting trends
Courtesy ESPN Research
Titans vs. Dolphins
Both teams are 0-3 ATS this season. Anders is 3-0 in Dolphins games.
The Dolphins are 2-7 ATS in primetime games under Mike McDaniel (lost four straight and ATS).
The Dolphins are 20-9-1 ATS as a home favorite since 2017 and 16-8 ATS since 2020. Mike McDaniel is 10-6 ATS as a home favorite.
If the line flips back with the Titans favored, the Dolphins are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs, while the Titans are 1-5 outright and ATS in their last six games as favorites.
Levis is 3-9 ATS in his career, 2-7 ATS as an underdog, and 1-5 ATS on the road. Levis is exactly 0-5 and ATS in his last five starts.
The primetime starters are 6-5 this season and 76-47-1 since 2022. The underdogs in “Monday Night Football” games are 25-14-1 in that span. Road teams in primetime games are 70-54 ATS in that span.
Seahawks vs. Lions
The Lions have capped a seven-game winning streak in primetime (7-1 ATS under Dan Campbell).
The Lions are 37-17 ATS under Campbell, the best record of any team since 2021.
The Lions are 12-5 ATS as underdogs since the start of last season and 15-7 ATS as underdogs under Campbell.
The Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games (8-2 ATS in their last 10 games including playoffs).
The Seahawks have capped three straight games as underdogs. This is their first game as an underdog this season.
The Lions are 10-3 ATS in extra comfort under Campbell.
Lions Unders is 3-0 this season.
The Seahawks have covered four straight meetings (since 2018).
The primetime starters are 6-5 this season and 76-47-1 since 2022. The underdogs in “Monday Night Football” games are 25-14-1 in that span. Road teams in primetime games are 70-54 ATS in that span.
