Daniil Vladar has been a stud for the Flames this season, and he’ll be a big reason why this game stays under par overall.
9 November 2024 • 09:47 ET • 4 min read
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The Calgary Flames erased a multiple-goal deficit in the third period to earn a hard-earned point in Boston last time out, and they will try to get another positive result to end their three-game road trip on a high this afternoon against the Buffalo Sabres.
My Flames vs Sabers predictions see Daniel Vladar building on his excellent playing career in a low-scoring morning game.
Let’s break things down further into my NHL picks for November 9th.
Flames vs swords predictions
My flames choose
Under 6.5 (-125 at BET99)
My flame analysis
Daniil Vladar conceded five goals against the Vancouver Canucks in the season opener, but has tightened the screws since then – allowing three or fewer goals in five of his past six starts.
His numbers were exceptional during that period. Vladar has a 0.923 SV% in all situations, good for third among all starting goaltenders.
Star netminders like Jake Oettinger, Connor Hellebuyck, and Ilya Sorokin are just a few following Vladar in that period…definitely good company to keep.
Vladar finds himself in a good place to build on his recent form. The Buffalo Sabers haven’t tested their goalies much lately, ranking 21st in shots made and 29th in expected goals scored at 5-on-5 over their last 10 games.
They have struggled to find their power play as well, ranking 30th in expected goals during that period.
The Calgary Flames are 15th in expected goals allowed and 9th in goals against 5-on-5 over their last 10 games. They’ve also done a good job of limiting the amount of penalties they take.
Calgary’s defense should be able to hold its own in this spot. He is an elite goalkeeper, and the pace of play can be a bit slow due to the early start time. It’s hard to envision a ceiling offensive performance for the Sabers.
On the other hand, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has been playing very well recently. He has conceded just four goals over his past three games and has posted a 0.954 SV% in that span.
The UPL looks a lot like the guy we saw in the second half of last season, which makes the Sabers a tough team to score against.
This has the makings of a low-scoring issue.
Flames vs Sabers in the same game (SGP)
Under 6.5
Rasmus Andersson over 1.5 shots
Conor Zary over 1.5 shots
Rasmus Andersson’s shot volume is really good at the moment. He’s connected on 1.5 shots on four of his last five, an average of 2.8 per game. His only failure came against a low-profile Bruins team that does a good job of limiting shots on opposing defensemen.
The Sabers have been giving up shots in droves lately, ranking 25th in shot suppression at 5-on-5 and in penalty kills over their last 10 games. Anderson routinely scores over 24 minutes and should have ample opportunity to capitalize on his good shooting game.
Conor Zary remains a priority target for shots, especially on the road. He has registered multiple shots in six of Calgary’s seven games outside this season and attempted at least three shots in each of them.
Dating back to last season, Zarri has at least two shots in 18 of the 21 games in which he has had three or more attempts.
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Flames vs. Sabers Odds Flames vs. Sabers Live Odds Flames vs. Sabers Opening Puck Line: Calgary +1.5 (-209) | Buffalo -1.5 (+182) Moneyline: Calgary +122 | Buffalo -137 Over/Under: Over 6 (-115) | Under 6 years (+101)
Odds provided by BET99
Direction of flames vs swords
Rasmus Andersson registered multiple shots in 64% of his matches on the road last season. Find out more NHL betting trends for Flames vs. Sabers.
How to Watch Flames vs Sabers Location: KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY Date: Saturday 9-11-2024 Puck Drop: 1:00 PM ET TV: Latest SN Flames vs Sabers Injuries
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