A New York Times/Siena College poll showed Vice President Harris had the lowest numbers for a Democratic presidential candidate in decades.
It comes just hours before former President Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a historic rally at Madison Square Garden, where he is expected to reiterate that he is making a long-shot play on the state’s 28 Electoral College votes.
The new poll, released Saturday morning, shows Harris leading Trump 66% to 27% among registered voters, a significant lead but a significant decline, judging by President Biden’s 76% to 23% victory over Trump in the blue city. Deep in 2020.
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Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to reporters in Houston on Friday, October 25, 2024. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh)
If it holds, it would mark the worst performance by a Democratic presidential candidate in the city since 1988, according to The New York Times.
The top three issues affecting registered voters in the poll are the economy, followed by immigration and abortion.
The city has suffered several crises over the past few years and is still reeling from the effects of coronavirus-era lockdowns.
New York City has the highest average monthly rent for a one-bedroom out of 100 cities, according to rental marketplace platform Zumper.
The city continues to shelter tens of thousands of migrants, and spending on the crisis is expected to exceed $5 billion, and Mayor Eric Adams previously said that costs could swell to more than $10 billion by the end of the next fiscal year.
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Meanwhile, New York City Mayor Adams’ administration is also in crisis mode after he was indicted last month on bribery and corruption charges, while New York Governor Kathy Hochul performed poorly in the 2022 governor’s race, winning by just six points.
Former President Trump will hold a rally in New York City on Sunday as he looks to make big gains in New York. (Wayne McNamee/Getty Images)
In the midterm elections, Democratic candidates for the House of Representatives won the state’s popular vote by only nine percentage points on average, according to the Times, compared to Biden’s victory by about 23 points in 2020. Biden won New York State by 60.87% compared to Trump’s victory. 37.74%, an increase of 1% for the former president compared to 2016.
The Democrats’ struggle for control of the House in the midterm elections arguably ran through New York, where the party lost four seats, including several Democratic-leaning districts.
Trump has made national gains among Black, Latino and young voters, and he is seeking to tap that demographic with his rally on Sunday.
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Migrants arrive for food outside the Roosevelt Hotel in Manhattan. Immigration is a major issue among New York City voters. (Alexey Rosenfeld/Getty Images)
He also visited a Bronx barbershop earlier this week, and in May held a rally in the borough, with a permit for 3,500 people. The New York Post reported that the Bronx march attracted as many as 10,000 supporters.
The poll was conducted from October 20 to 23, and pollsters spoke with 853 voters in New York City. Overall, more than 98% of respondents were contacted via mobile phone, and the survey had a margin of error of 3.9%.
A national poll conducted by The New York Times in collaboration with Siena College showed the two candidates deadlocked at 48% each.
Michael Dorgan is a writer for Fox News Digital and Fox Business.
You can send tips to michael.dorgan@fox.com and follow him on Twitter @M_Dorgan.
