The Mountain West Conference quickly became so dense that the likes of San Jose State, Boise State, and UNLV began to pull away.
Well, this matchup involves a few teams trending in the opposite direction, but it could give us one of the most competitive games on a loaded slate.
The San Diego State Aztecs (2-3) travel to Laramie, Wyoming to take on the Wyoming Cowboys (1-4). Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM ET on CBS Sports. San Diego State is a two-point favorite on the point spread, while the over/under is 42.5.
Last Saturday, San Diego State ended a three-game losing streak with a win over Hawaii. However, they are not the only ones gaining momentum, as Wyoming earned its first win of the season two weeks ago over Air Force.
The Cowboys rode high on their bye week and look to come off the heat after having plenty of time to prepare. So, which side should you be on against the Mountain West? Let’s get into my San Diego State vs. Wyoming predictions and college football picks for Saturday, October 12.
San Diego State vs Wyoming Odds, spread, pick
Saturday 12 October
3:30 PM ET
CBS Sports Network
San Diego State OddsSpreadTotalMoneyline
-2
-110
42.5
-110 / -110
-130
Wyoming OddsSpreadTotalMoneyline
+2
-110
42.5
-110 / -110
+110
San Diego State vs. Wyoming Spread: San Diego State -2 San Diego State vs. Wyoming Over/Under: 42.5 points San Diego State vs. Wyoming Moneyline: San Diego State -130 San Diego State vs. Wyoming Pick: Wyoming ML (+110)
My best bet for Wyoming vs San Diego State is on the Wyoming moneyline, with the best line currently available at BetMGM, according to our live NCAAF odds page.
Watch San Diego State vs Wyoming
San Diego State Football
When you look at the Aztecs’ offense, one person stands out: running back Marquise Cooper. Cooper had 52% of the Aztecs’ touches with 129 carries and 10 receptions.
Cooper has been efficient in his workload as well. He comes in averaging 4.6 yards per carry and hits the dirt five times. However, Cooper’s numbers are still inflated due to the tremendous performance he had against Texas A&M Commerce to open the year, where he rushed for 223 yards on 27 carries.
Since then, Cooper has averaged just 3.8 yards per carry. He’ll have to contend with a Wyoming defense that’s better than the numbers show against the rush. They rank 79th in defensive rushing success rate and 40th in tackling.
This game may fall on Danny O’Neill’s arm. O’Neal has been solid and will have a good matchup against the Cowboys’ secondary. However, if they couldn’t run the ball on early downs, the Aztecs struggled to continue drives, ranking 103rd in third-down conversion rate.
Wyoming football
The Cowboys have been beaten by wide margins in three of their first four losses, and while some of that has certainly been on defense, some of it is on offense, which had not met expectations until last week.
Many are taking season highs on Wyoming dual-threat quarterback Evan Svoboda after he showed some flashes last year. However, he couldn’t get things going in the air, and things started to go awry for the Air Force – Svoboda completed 71% of his passes and ran for two scores to lead the Cowboys to their first win.
His mobility will be key, as San Diego State’s secondary was strong. However, the Aztecs struggled to slow down rushing attacks.
The Aztecs rank 130th nationally in defensive line yards and 89th in yards per rush allowed. This game should breathe some life into the Cowboys’ backfield, which is averaging just 2.5 yards per rush.
Aside from Svoboda, Wyoming’s key player will be Sam Scott. The rookie took over the starting job averaging 4.5 yards per carry and had his best performance yet.
Given the extra time in the game plan for this game, we should see the Cowboys continue their offensive momentum.
San Diego State vs Wyoming match analysis
Toggle the drop-down menus below to hide or show how San Diego State and Wyoming match up statistically:
San Diego State Offense vs. Wyoming Defense Wyoming Offense vs. San Diego State Defense Play Speed/Other PFF Tackles 7,040 PFF Coverage 12,111 Special Teams SP+ 12,842 Average 859,100 seconds per game 23.9 (14)26.9 (60) Rush Rate 56% (61) )59% (35)
San Diego State vs Wyoming prediction
This match will likely be a tough battle, as both teams rank at the bottom when it comes to offensive rating. However, offensive conflict is what will keep Wyoming alive as a “house dog.”
They have a huge advantage coming out after successful performances on both sides of the ball. We should see them control the ground game on both sides and limit San Diego State’s opportunities to exploit their secondary.
The Cowboys are back at home.
Pick: Wyoming ML (+110)
San Diego State vs Wyoming: start time, TV channel, location
location:
Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium, Laramie, WY
Date: Saturday, October 12 Kickoff Time: 3:30 PM EST / Broadcast: CBS Sports Network
Wyoming’s game against San Diego State is scheduled for 3:30 PM EST live from Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium on Saturday. The game will be broadcast on CBS Sports Network.
San Diego State vs Wyoming Weather
About the author
Doug is a college football and college basketball player and MLB contributor to Action Network. He produces content centered around actionable tips with the goal of helping readers become better bettors. He studied journalism at Rutgers and previously covered the New York Mets, Indianapolis Colts and the Mid-Atlantic region for Perfect Game.
Follow Doug Ziefel @DougZiefel on Twitter/X.
