The Memphis Tigers (5-1, 1-1 AAC) welcome the North Texas Mean Greens (5-1, 2-0) to Simons Bank Liberty Stadium on Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 PM ET (ESPNU). Let’s break down BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds on North Texas vs. Memphis and make our college football picks and predictions.
The Tigers beat the USF Bulls 21-3 on Saturday in Week 7, closing out as 10-point road favorites. They have won two in a row and are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) on the season. Memphis’ only loss of the season was a 56-44 defeat on the road to the Midshipmen, who closed as nine-point underdogs. The Tigers have scored at least 20 goals in every game this season.
The Mean Green beat FAU 41-37 on Saturday, closing out as a five-point road favorite. North Texas has reeled off three straight wins and is 3-3 ATS on the season. Its only loss was to Big 12 team Texas Tech, losing 66-21 on the road on September 14. The Mean Green have closed as underdogs in two games and are 1-1 straight up and 1-1 ATS in those games. They have scored at least 40 in 3 consecutive matches as well.
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North Texas vs. Memphis
Presented by BetMGM Sportsbook; Access the USA TODAY Sports Scores Center and Sports Betting Odds for a complete list of college football odds. Lines were last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): North Texas +290 ($100 bet to win $290) | Memphis -375 (bet $375 to win $100) vs. Spread (ATS): North Texas +11.5 (-110) | Memphis -11.5 (-110) Over/Under (O/U): 68.5 (O: -105 | U: -115) North Texas at Memphis Picks and Predictions
Memphis 37, North Texas 24
Money line
passes.
There is no value here. The Tigers should come out on top, especially with the way the Mean Green have played in competitive road games. Memphis is too expensive to take here.
Against the spread
Memphis Bet -11.5 (-110).
The Tigers are 3-1 ATS this season as a double-digit favorite, and they are 2-1 ATS at home. They have scored 38 or more points in 3 games this season, but it is their defense that has impressed, allowing a total of 10 points in the last 2 games and holding opponents to 17 points or fewer in 5 of 6 games.
The Mean Green have played 3 games on the road and allowed 37, 66 and 38. They are just 1-2 ATS in those games. North Texas has consistently given up too many points in road games, and that would invite issues against a solid defense like Memphis.
Given these trends, take Memphis -11.5 (-110).
Over/under
Bet under 68.5 (-115).
This is a story of two stories. Memphis is 1-5 O/U while North Texas is 5-1 O/U. At home, Memphis has allowed 0, 17 and 7. And they have a defense that consistently produces, holding even Power 5-sided FSU up to 12.
North Texas scored just 21 points in its last Power 5 battle of the season. The average green has allowed 20 or less in 2 of the last 3 and in 3 of the last 5. With that in mind and considering how high that total was, it’s back to under 68.5 (-115).
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